Statements and Revalations (In Scotland)

I wrote this post on stated and revealed preferences around two years ago, and over the past few days have been meaning to update it and apply it to the poll results in the lead up to the Scottish Independence Referendum. I didn’t have the time unfortunately, so this is merely a lazy copy-and-paste job. The main idea is that polls and elections are different things. I fully expect a ‘no’ vote, however embarassing it is for the Scottish people. It’s easier to say ‘yes’ a pollster than it is to lodge a yes vote in the privacy of an election booth.

Continue reading